Week 10 Fearless Predictions
Florida (-5.5) vs. Georgia
Abramson: Why not start out with a bang...I went to this festival of fun a few years ago and it's one of the more spirited events in college football. I suggest you see for yourself. As far as this year's installment, there's two teams still looking for that dominant identity with a lot to lose. With both teams tied for first in east division, the winner of this game has the inside track to the SEC title game with just two more conference games after this weekend. Georgia is riding high with confidence after last weekend's dominant win at LSU. As for Florida, the offense is rolling along with 152 points the last games. That's about 51 a game, or seven touchdowns. And the defense has given up just 32 points in those three matchups. Translation: Florida is dominant right now. And my Florida guy told me there would be "no way" UF loses to the Bulldogs this year. Florida 31, Georgia 24 with a defensive touchdown and two from Percy Harvin.
Rose: Everything about this game points to Florida winning. The Gators' offense is on a roll, there's the memory of last year's full-team celebration by Georgia, and Florida just seems to be going about its business in a dominating fashion. I believe Georgia will get good production from Matthew Stafford and Knowshon Moreno, but I'm going to go back to that young and inexperienced offensive line again. I thought the Bulldogs did a good job last week against the LSU front seven, but Florida's defense, led by Brandon Spikes, is better. Plus, Georgia gave up 38 points to LSU's offense, which I don't consider one of the better groups around. I'm going with Florida, 38-30.
Texas (-6) at Texas Tech
Abramson: Deja vu? Texas Tech is one of the hottest teams in the country until it's steamrolled by the Longhorns around this time of the year. So what makes this season any different? Balance. I think Texas Tech can get the first down by running the football if need be -- something that couldn't be said years past. As for Texas, it's all about the defense because that offense will get its points. Texas has shown it is vulnerable on defense, especially against the pass. I know what you're thinking, "Well, teams are always trying to pass their way back into games against UT." Fair, but that still doesn't explain a 110/119 ranking in that dept. If Texas Tech lines up its 11 and plays the same style football it has all year, I'm calling the upset: 43-38. Watch this game -- it'll be the highlight of the weekend.
Rose: Texas has gone through a brutal stretch. First, a win over Oklahoma. Then Missouri. Last week the Longhorns avoided the upset to Oklahoma State. This must be the week, right? Texas must be beat up and worn out from that string of games. Texas Tech's offense shredded Kansas last week. Graham Harrell is the real deal, and Michael Crabtree is the best wide receiver in the country. It's the biggest game in Texas Tech's history. And it's at home in Lubbock. Those expecting Texas to finally fall this week will be disappointed. Colt McCoy, who can solidify his Heisman this week, does look like this stretch of games is taking a toll on him, as last week started to show with his turnovers. But believe it or not, defense will win this game. I like Texas to make the key defensive stop in this game. Texas remains No. 1, 43-40.
Miami at Virginia (-2)
Abramson: Virginia has found its way to a little winning streak and is actually in position to make a run at the ACC title game. Pretty funny if you ask me, considering I left the Cavs for dead about 6 weeks ago. I'm going to take Miami in an upset for one reason: Miami's ability to quick strike on offense. The Canes have eclipsed 35 points in half of their games this season, while Virginia has reached that total just once. Quarterback Marc Verica has found a way to win for Al Groh, but I'm not sure he can do it against Miami's athleticism on defense. Miami 31, Virginia 16.
Rose: It's so easy to pick Virginia this week. The Cavaliers continue to prove people wrong. Virginia has won four straight after a 1-3 start. And Cedric Peerman is really coming on, with three out of four games with at least 100 yards rushing. Virginia has knocked off two straight ranked opponents -- North Carolina and Georgia Tech. And the Cavs are sitting alone in first place in the Coastal Division. A win against Miami and Virginia appears to be in the driver's seat for a spot in the ACC title game. Miami has won three straight, but the defense is not as good as you think. The Hurricanes are giving up 23 points a game. I'm going to stick with Virginia. Cavs win 27-21.
Florida State at Georgia Tech (-1)
Abramson: It doesn't change for Florida State: The Seminoles have to run the football. Last week, Antoine Smith sprung a touchdown run that keyed FSU to a big win and got Tallahassee thinking about the BCS. Georgia Tech picked up its second conference loss last week by dedicating itself to stopping the run, something Florida State is fantastic at -- as in one of the best rush defenses in the country fantastic. Play man coverage and make Josh Nesbitt beat you with his arm, and I like FSU's chances to pull an upset: 24-13.
Rose: The best part about the ACC this season is that you never know what you're getting from week to week. Will we see the Florida State that has won four straight? Will we continue to witness the development of quarterback Christian Ponder? Will Antone Smith be able to carry the rushing load? I'm going to say yes to all of the above. I really like Georgia Tech's defense, but not so much the Yellow Jackets' offense. Florida State's defense is fast and will make a play. Florida State's program is moving in the right direction. Florida State wins, 24-16.
Iowa at Illinois (-1.5)
Abramson: Mike and I had a good discussion about this one in the office, and I don't want to steal all of the good points he brought up about this game. So I'll say that it comes down to who can run the football better. It's strange to think Illinois is 4-4 at this juncture, a game below Iowa. One thing I point to is the strength of schedule to this point: I can see Iowa losing three of its last four, while Illinois goes on to win three of those four. I am going to take the Illini in this game and call it my lock of the week. Illinois can play some dominant offense if its gets rolling, which I believe it will at home: 38-21.
Rose: Iowa is a dangerous team. The Hawkeyes' Shonn Greene is for real, rushing for at least 100 yards in each game this season. And Iowa's defense has been really tough this season, only giving up about 11 points per game. This is a big rivalry between the border states. Ron Zook has never beaten Iowa. Illinois, I believe, will be able to score points. Illinois has a ton of talent, led by quarterback Juice Williams. It's the defense I'm concerned about. Iowa can very easily turn this into a ball control game. And Greene, at 235 pounds, is tough to tackle late in games. I know Zook called out his players again this week, and the game is at Illinois. Both teams really need this win to help their bowl chances. There's just something about Iowa I like in this game. Iowa wins, 27-24.
West Virginia (-4) at Connecticut
Abramson: The Mountaineers have spent 10 days on a high from a big win against Auburn. I think Mike and I agree WVU is the best team in a weak Big East at this point (6-2). With a top 10 rushing offense in WVU and the nation's leading rusher in Donald Brown, this game might last about 62 minutes. With two teams stacked up exactly the same on paper it's tough to make a decision. But if I really do think West Virginia is the best team in the conference, then I have to believe Pat White and Noel Devine will make enough plays for a 24-16 win.
Rose: This is a huge game in the Big East. I have gone on the record as saying West Virginia is still the best team in the conference. But UConn can be dangerous. UConn beat up on a good Cincinnati team last week. I really like Donald Brown and his ability to run the ball. The Mountaineers, however, have two elite runners with Pat White and Noel Devine. Devine was very, very impressive last week against Auburn. And White showed the passing ability last week against Auburn that I anticipated seeing all season. West Virginia is clicking at the right time. I'm going with the Mountaineers, 31-26.
Wisconsin at Michigan State (-4.5)
Abramson: I kind of look at this as a no-brainer, despite Wisconsin's win last week. Michigan State is going to shove it down the throat of a program with a lot of problems. Javon Ringer is fun to watch, and he gets better as games go along -- that's why he's the country's second leading rusher and accounts for 152 of Michigan State's 161 rushing yards per game average. I'll take Michigan State 20-10.
Rose: After the disappointing performance against Ohio State, Michigan State showed me a lot last week. This is usually the time of year that the Spartans begin their nosedive. But the Spartans beat Michigan in The Big House and Javon Ringer looked like very strong. Wisconsin surprised me by beating Illinois last week, but the Badgers still have some problems. Dustin Sherer has improved at quarterback. But Travis Beckum is gone for the season with a broken leg. There's still some questions as to which running back should be featured -- P.J. Hill or John Clay. I think Michigan State is focused. The Spartans win, 23-13.

