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2006 Mid-Term Elections Archives

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The party's not over yet

Posted May 21, 2008 5:15 PM
The Swamp

by Naftali Bendavid

Any number of analysts have rushed recently to proclaim the virtual end of the Republican Party. Or at a minimum, many years in the wilderness.

"Republicans face crisis," declared the Washington Post recently. A current article in The New Yorker, in a slightly different vein, is headlined "The End of Conservatism." A cable host recently asked hyperbolically, "Is it the end of the [Republican] Party?" Even one blogger on a conservative web site estimated the Republicans would lose seven seats in the Senate and 40 in the House. "We're going down," he observed glumly.

The gist of much of the commentary is that the nation is reaching the end of a major historical cycle. Modern conservatism, and its marriage with the Republican Party, arose from the ashes of Barry Goldwater's 1964 landslide defeat. It attained major victories with Ronald Reagan's victory in 1980 and the Republican takeover of Congress in 1994, and peaked during the years in which President Bush ruled with a Republican Congress.

But now, the theory goes, with Democrats likely to expand the congressional majorities they won in 2006 and a Democrat given a good shot of winning the presidency, the Republican coalition is in tatters and the conservative movement out of ideas. This will require a building process taking decades, some say.

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