Media-coronated or not, Obama by all accounts is going to get drubbed next week in West Virginia. Why?
The West Virginia political blog West Virginia Blue recently compared statistical data on the state's population to a New York Times write-up comparing the demographics of Clinton counties with Obama counties across the country:
None of the Mountain State's 55 counties has an African American population of more than 20 percent. Overall, it's only 3 percent black.
Clinton does well in counties where less than 78 percent of residents have a high-school education, Obama does well when the percent is more than 87 percent. In WV 41 are less than 78, and none are above 87 percent.
Eleven of the remaining counties have median per capita incomes below $30,000, where Clinton usually wins.
At the end of the analysis only two counties -- Kanawha and Ohio, with 16 percent of the state's population -- project for Obama, because of their population density. He does well in high-density counties.
The site, for what it's worth, projects a possible net of 12 delegates for Clinton because the small state is so skewed in her favor.
This analysis, of course, predates Obama's win in NC and near miss in Indiana.
For more on demographics as destiny, see this.