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« Picture: Charlotte | Main | Clinton conference call: Same old spin »

Analysis: Obama's overperformance

wrightbig.jpg

In a shrewd analysis of the numbers, First Read counts the reasons Obama exceeded expectations in Indiana:

He did much better than expected in white suburban counties north of Indianapolis. He did much better than in Pennsylvania among Catholics, raising his share of their vote from 30 to 41 percent. The gas tax debate seems to have played in his favor. He actually underperformed in NW Indiana, close to Chicago -- probably because Wright played big there, and Lake County is racially polarized:

"You have to wonder how much he would have WON Indiana by if 1) there was no Wright controversy or 2) he had more time."

And that is an idea that is probably a big selling point to superdelegates today, because Wright may never again burn so brightly.....

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