New York-based GOP consultant Roger Stone, whose activities and strategies always draw interest in political circles, has this analysis on his political Web site: essentially that the possible nomination of John McCain has become an "amazing reality" and that what appears to be Rudy Giuliani's "melt-down" benefits the Arizona Senator by far over any other Republican candidate. Nothing personal, apparently -- the one-time Nixon man still has his grip-and-grin photo with Giuliani posted on the StoneZone site (as you can see, third from left, above).
More important, though, is the question of whether the ever-perceptive Stone is correct in his thesis.
Dan Janison
Comments (2)
It took Stone about five months to draw this conclusion & seeing this play out?
If you check this blog and others, I have been saying since the summer that Rudy will not be that candidate of the GOP.
In fact, most of the consultants of the other campaigns have been saying this to me for many of months now. This is NO surprise of what is going on.
RE: Rudy and the Early States
Rudy would not even be in this GOP race, if many of the States did not move up their primary dates.
Rudy is sending troops to NH to prevent a complete embarrassment of him losing in the early states and the press stories which will follow. Polls indicate this. Many weeks lie between the next set of States to vote in a primary.
That being said;
The ONLY way for Rudy can win this thing is to continue "Splitting" of the votes of the Conservative Candidates such as Mitt, Thompson, Huckabee, McCain and Thompson. (Rudy sneaks in)
If Rudy should win this GOP race...
The GOP Social Conservatives will sit home by the millions and hand this election to Clinton.
This has happened before in history and gave the Republican Party Ronald Reagan the following term as the end of the road came to the "Rockafeller Republicans"
RE: Staten island "Team Concept" (Guy Molianro).....And the State GOP CLEARLY have no clue of politics in other Social Conservative States.
Social Conservatives CLEARLY are sending word in the early States to final on one candidate. I belive as many, that Social Conservatives will "sit at home" at a minimum of six States... Thus easily costing the National GOP for sure the election...In fact two GOP Operatives have stated this concern to me just about a week ago.
On another matter, Two GOP camps I have contact with report changes in their polls in just the last week or so. (Actual both sides Dem & GOP show changes) and so I concur with recent reports of the recent Clinton decline and the further decline of Rudy support in the early states.
That said, RTL's, ACU & 2A's are working their butts off and continue the rally cry and threat to the GOP to somehow and someway remove the field and crown ONE Conservative where all can rally behind for remaining State primaries.
Jim Kelly - NY Conservative Campaigns
McCAIN IS TO THE LEFT OF THIS WRITER ON SOCIAL ISSUES.
McCAIN FINEGOLD IS A PUNCH IN THE MOUTH OF FREE SPEECH.
BUT I KNOW OF THIS GUY.
HE GOES TO PLACES WHERE THE DAMAGE BETWEEN THE RIGHT AND LEFT EARS IS SEVERE.
HE SITS WITH THEM AND LISTENS AS THEY VENT.
THEY CALL HIM ALL KIND OF BAD NAMES.
IN THE END THEY RISE UP APPROACH HIM EMBRACE HIM AND CRY.
THEY SEE TEARS IN HIS EYES ALSO.
HE GOES TO THESE PLACES IN HIS STATE ON A REGULAR BASIS.
HE JUST SITS AND HE LISTENS. HE HOLDS THEIR HANDS.
THIS MAN IS A GOOD MAN.
WHO WE VOTE FOR IS OUR OWN BUSINESS
BUT KNOW YOU THIS WE WHO HAVE SERVED OUR COUNTRY IN BOTH HOT AND SO CALLED COLD WARS LOVE HIM. AND ALWAYS WILL.
GOD BLESS.
JOHN W. BUGLER
BUGLER.ORG